Building Resilience from Robustness
Experiencing Resilience
Based on the results from stress-testing of Robustness, a Surprise scenario should be calibrated that enables the SOC to develop novel solutions that subsequently can be used for joint analyses and reflection. The reflection process should have two different foci
What enabled the SOC to find a novel solution
Is the novel solution something that can be reused in a future situation, to the extent that is can be incorporated into operational procedures?
Surprise scenarios should continuously evolve to reflect advances in robustness, as indicated above.
This facilitates a crucial, dynamic link between Robustness and Resilience of the SOC
Expand Resilient Repertoire
Resilience must be constantly maintained and renewed. The SOC must therefore persist in renewing their perceptions of their own operational capabilities in terms of Surprise scenarios that represent the boundaries of preparedness.
This directs attention to their ability to manage their own adaptive capacity, rather than specific, imagined adaptations.
The DARWIN guidelines on Managing adaptive capacity is a useful resource. See DRMG Book, chapter 3.
Identify Limits (brittleness)
Also the adaptive capacity may be fragile, causing a brittleness in operations. When the SOC has reached the maturity level at which it is aware of and addresses its adaptive capacity, it is necessary to create awareness of it limitations.
Hence, Surprise scenarios which induces breakdown in adaptive capacity should be developed, with the intention of providing indicators of fragility when approaching these limits.
The DARWIN guidelines on Noticing brittleness is a useful resource. See DRMG Book, chapter 4.3
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